Estimates
I'm just getting started on this page, so there's not much here yet.
- "the average cost of saving a human life for one year in the third world is just $62."
- source: Lomborg, Bjorn, 2004: Global Crises,
Global Solutions, page 2
- which in turn cites: Hahn, R., 1996: Risks, costs, and lives saved:
getting better results from regulation, Oxford University Press, Oxford
- "Based on estimates from macroeconomic models, we predicted that the ANB
[annualized net benefits] of eliminating 50 per cent of malaria between 2002 and 2015 would be Int$10-37 bn,
with BCRs of 1.9-4.7."
- The Kyoto Protocol has a BCR
of 0.23, assuming a 3% rate of pure time preference, which means
a DCR of about 4.5%.
Cline's proposed optimal carbon tax strategy would have a BCR of 0.26, assuming a 3% pure time preference and a DCR of about 4.5%.
- "In Thailand, the ANB
of AIDS control was Int$3.4 bn and BCR 14.2."
- "The 1993 World Development Report package
gives ANB
of Int$534.1 bn and BCR 2.6."
- Macroeconomic models of malaria control estimate a BCR of 4.7 given a DCR of 3%
- With slightly different assumptions, they get a BCR of 3.7, 5.4, or 6.2, also for a DCR of 3%
- Using a DCR of 6% reduces net benefit by 25%, for a BCR of 3.7
- source: Mills, Anne, and Shillcutt, Sam, 2004: Global Crises,
Global Solutions, page 79
- which in turn cites: Gallup, J.L., and Sachs, J.D., 2001: The economic burden
of malaria, American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 64, 85-96
- Macroeconomic models of malaria control estimate a BCR of 1.9 given a DCR of 3%
- With slightly different assumptions, they get a BCR of 1.5 or 2.6, also for a DCR of 3%
- Using a DCR of 6% reduces net benefit by 30%, for a BCR of 1.7
- source: Mills, Anne, and Shillcutt, Sam, 2004: Global Crises,
Global Solutions, page 79
- which in turn cites: McCarthy, F.D., H. Wolf, Y. Wu, 2000: The growth costs
of malaria, National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series, Cambridge, MA, 31
- Distributing insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) has an estimated BCR of 10 given a DCR of 3%
- Using a DCR of 6% has no significant shift on the BCR
- If you assume a DALY value of Int$3,830 you get a BCR of 25
- source: Mills, Anne, and Shillcutt, Sam, 2004: Global Crises,
Global Solutions, page 81
- Treating pregnant women (Intermittent presumptive treatment (IPTp))
with drugs like ACT, CQ, and SP, has an estimated BCR of 14 given a DCR of 3%
- Using a DCR of 6% increases the net benefit by 12%
- If you assume a YLL value of Int$3,830 you get a BCR of 33
- source: Mills, Anne, and Shillcutt, Sam, 2004: Global Crises,
Global Solutions, page 82
- Switching from SP to ACT treatment has an estimated BCR of 39 given a DCR of 3%
- Using a DCR of 6% decreases the net benefit by 23%, for a BCR of 30
- If you assume a DALY value of Int$3,830 you get a BCR of 85
- source: Mills, Anne, and Shillcutt, Sam, 2004: Global Crises,
Global Solutions, page 84
- Scaling up ACT treatment has an estimated BCR of 19 given a DCR of 3%
- Using a DCR of 6% decreases the net benefit by 17%, for a BCR of 16
- If you assume a DALY value of Int$3,830 you get a BCR of 42
- source: Mills, Anne, and Shillcutt, Sam, 2004: Global Crises,
Global Solutions, page 85